Conte ter government, yes of 40% of Italians no for 36 | Political polls

The political crisis caused disorientation and bewilderment among citizens who struggle to understand the reasons for the end of government Conte, in a context of widespread concern for the economic crisis and the health emergency in the country. Almost two out of three Italians (61%) believe that the current situation is a further element of concern that would have been better avoided, while 23% show optimism considering the crisis as an opportunity to relaunch the country.

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Inappropriate crisis

Among all the voters, with the exception of the Northern League, the idea that the government crisis is completely inappropriate prevails across the board. The fact that this opinion prevails even among the opposition voters of FI and FdI, as well as among the abstentionists, is due to the fear that Italy may remain without a guide for a long period, risking to postpone urgent decisions, starting from Recovery plan. Conte II’s balance sheet presents lights and shadows: positive judgments (vote from 6 to 10) prevail with regard to the management of the pandemic (50% against 40% of negative judgments) and relations with the EU (48% against 40%) . Conversely, the negative evaluations (grade from 1 to 5) surpass the positive ones regarding the management of the economic crisis (51% against 38%) and immigration (57% against 30%) as well as interventions in the judicial field (53% against 28%). %). Each area has a different relevance in citizens’ priorities: pandemic, economy and relations with the EU are more important than immigration (today considered important by 20% while in 2018 it had reached 46%) and the judicial system.

What majority would you like

It is not surprising, therefore, that today 40% are of the opinion to entrust the post for a new government to the outgoing premier, while 36% would prefer another figure. Preferences are once again influenced by political affiliation, even if there is no lack of Conte supporters among the opposition voters (34% among those who vote FI, 20% among those who vote FdI and 13% among the leaguers). Once again, however, the result influenced by the largest group, consisting of abstentionists and undecided on who to vote (40%), among whom Conte is preferred by 34% against the 20% hoping for another prime minister. But which majority would the Italians want? In the answers given before knowing the outcome of President Mattarella’s consultations, citizens seem to favor a narrow majority, regardless of political color, and as cohesive as possible (46%) over a government of national unity (22%), while one in three (32%) does not take a position. Undoubtedly, the hypothesis of a large majority, with parties rather distant from each other, evokes the fear of an excess of quarrels and inaction.

Center-right and early voting

Finally, the solution represented by the early termination of the legislature with recourse to the polls: almost one in two Italians (47%) declares against the vote, 28% in favor and 25% undecided. Leaguers (67%) and FdI voters (52%) are more inclined to vote, despite the presence of a significant share of against (respectively 24% and 36%). Conversely, among FI voters, those against voting prevail (51% against 36% in favor). And between Pd and M5S about 1 in 10 would like the elections. The propensity to vote supported above all by the center-right voters who see the possibility of an affirmation. Those who are more opposed, on the other hand, express concern that the time needed to set up a new executive may be exponentially extended, making it impossible to intervene quickly with incisive measures to contain the effects of the crisis. In short, today the request to vote does not seem so popular, perhaps also because the declared intent by some politicians to make Italians choose a half-truth, taking into account that with the current electoral law the majorities are defined by the parties not before, but after the outcome of the vote. Then the floor is given to the Italians to give the floor back to the parties that decide independently of the pre-electoral alliances and the wishes of their constituents, many of whom feel cheated. And then we are surprised that the citizens turn away from politics.

January 31, 2021 (change January 31, 2021 | 08:31)


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